The one thing Labour promised us in last July's election campaign was "change." But most people, whose major obsession is not politics, can be forgiven for thinking that what we've been getting is the mixture very much as before.
This is particularity true of of the political debate itself, which continues to be conducted in intemperate, inappropriate and exaggerated language.
Last week was immigration week. Sir Keri Starmer, not in the heat of the moment but at his podium flanked by two Union Jacks, solemnly intoned that a "squalid" chapter of our politics (allegedly open immigration) had damaged our country "incalculably" and that Britain risks becoming "an island of strangers." That last comment at least will make a fitting addition to the distasteful Tory list of Enoch Powell’s "rivers of blood," Boris Johnson's "piccaninnies" and Theresa May's "hostile environment."
This week started as Brexit-reset week. Sir Keir hailed his achievement as "putting Britain back on the world stage," Rachel Reeves declared us now "the world's best placed country on trade."
What excessive nonsense: it is nothing of the sort. Nor is it the "betrayal" or "surrender" that the right-wing press dutifully insists.
It is a measured but modest step in the direction of improving the botched settlement by which the Johnson government "got Brexit done."
For a restrained and rational discussion on the benefits of immigration please see the previous five posts.
Here is a brief assessment of the of the changes the "reset" has made to our relations with the EU.
1. On everything, much of the detail still remains to be settled.
2. On defence: we shall co-operate, may get a share of the EU procurement budget, but will have to pay a contribution. A useful move in the right direction.
3. On mobility: only for youth, and nothing settled as yet.
4. On Erasmus + (students and apprentices): nothing at all
5. On export of animals and plants: substantial reduction of SPS checks. A major advantage for farmers and food exporters.
6. On greater freedom for artists( musicians etc.) to tour: nothing at all
7. On mutual recognition of qualifications: nothing at all.
8. On fishing : a curate's egg - great for Scottish salmon farmers, not so good for the fishing fleets
9. On energy: should result in lower electricity bills.
The discussions are to be repeated annually. We have made a positive start, re-established ourselves as credible and supportive partners, though still very firmly a "third country," and cleared the decks for future progress.
Let's hope the discussions and reporting of the completion of this round, and preparations for the next, can be conducted in a restrained and patient manner. Personally I should like us to rejoin tomorrow, but that is not (yet) politically possible Nor do I think the EU would at present be wiling to accept us back. But slow and steady may eventually restore sanity.
Part of our problem is the speed with which the debate moves. One day it's migration, then BREXIT, then Garry Lineker, then starvation in Gaza, and today Trump's attempt to bully Cyril Ramaphosa, and two young Jews assassinated in the US. Perhaps hyperbole is the only way of catching our attention. We never give ourselves time for thoughtful discussion
'Never give ourselves time for thoughtful discussion' That is cos if that happened REAL common sense would prevail.That does not suit the agenda of constant stirring up of anger and attacks on 'others' that hides the real problems of the world such as lack of food,housing, jobs,climate
ReplyDeleteThanks, Nigel: bang on.
DeleteYes, there’s a terrible lack of climate these days.
Deletewe shall co-operate, may get a share of the EU procurement budget, but will have to pay a contribution. A useful move in the right direction.
ReplyDeleteHow is will have to pay but may get a share a step in the right direction? That leaves open the possibility that we may pay in and get nothing back, or get something back but less than we put in. Surely a ‘Siri in the right direction’ would be ensuring that we would end up better off? This looks like we are likely to end up worse off, which would be a step in the wrong direction.
substantial reduction of SPS checks. A major advantage for farmers and food exporters.
But at the cost of signing up to ‘dynamic alignment’ with EU standards. Do you understand what ‘dynamic alignment’ Is and how terrible it would be?
should result in lower electricity bills.
How? The idea is that we join the EU’s carbon trading scheme, and match our prices to theirs. Currently their carbon price is higher than ours. So harmonising will mean our prices go up, not down.
Procurement budget: we must wait and see. I suppose the government is banking on the fact that, traditionally, in the university, high-tech, science and technology areas we have received more than we have paid in. I expect we shall co-operate in joint schemes, which will help keep our high-tech sector "in the loop."
ReplyDeleteDynamic alignment: we do that anyway. If we want to sell products in the EU, whether members or not, we have to follow their rules.For convenience businesses tend to apply them to products even if they are not all sold in the EU. For example, the screw tops now attached to "plastic" bottles are following an EU rule, even though they are sold in the UK.
Electricity costs: see https://www.energyoasis.org.uk/blog/brexit-reset-energy-market
I suppose the government is banking on the fact that, traditionally, in the university, high-tech, science and technology areas we have received more than we have paid in.
DeleteHave we? Do you have figures for that? I can't find any figures immediately for net contributions broken down by particular schemes. I know that in total we paid in much more than we ever got back, but perhaps that was just the Common Agricultural Policy being so huge it swamped everything else.
Regardless, even if in some areas we got back a positive return, it seems unlikely that will be the case in the area of defence, when the French government part-owns several industry giants that are in direct competition for the money with our own industry giants. The French have never been circumspect about seeking to put the interests of their own economy first, so it seems likely that they will try to tilt the rules so that companies such as Thales are favoured over companies like BAe. I suppose we shall see, and I hope you will admit when the figures come in that you were wrong (and I would expect the next government to use the figures whihc show we have paid in more than we got out as justification when they leave the scheme).
Dynamic alignment: we do that anyway.
No, we don't. What we have now is a situation where when the EU bring in a new regulation, British companies are free to look at it, weigh up the costs and benefits, and decide for themselves whether to submit to it. So for example a company which wishes to export to the EU may voluntarily comply; but a company which does most of its business domestically may decide that by ignoring the regulation it can keep its costs low, and therefore keep its prices low, and therefore undercut both domestic rivals who apply the regulation, and importing EU competitor products. This is good for them as they then gain domestic market share, and god for consumers as they get lower prices.
Dynamic alignment removes that freedom, which is bad.
For convenience businesses tend to apply them to products even if they are not all sold in the EU. For example, the screw tops now attached to "plastic" bottles are following an EU rule, even though they are sold in the UK.
That's actually not the reason: the reason we have those horrid things (obviously the first thing I do whenever I open any bottle nowadays is tear the cap off, which I assume is what everyone does) is not because businesses decided to apply them to their products, but because the factories which make the bottle are themselves in the UK, so produce to EU specifications. There's nothing stopping someone setting up a bottle-making plant in the UK which does not put those things on.
Electricity costs: see https://www.energyoasis.org.uk/blog/brexit-reset-energy-market
So that page says that the new agreement won't cut costs: 'While the reset does not directly introduce new measures to cut costs, the relinking of ETS and improved energy market cooperation could enhance efficiency, indirectly stabilising or even reducing energy expenses over time.'
So there will be no direct lowering of energy prices as a result of this, and any actual lowering is 'indirect' and 'could' and 'over time'. Of course that means it's equally possible that 'over time' this agreement 'could' have an 'indirect' effect that causes energy prices to rise, not fall.
factories which make the bottle are themselves in the UK, so produce to EU specifications
Deleteerratum: the factories are in the EU, not the UK.
F(_)llz avaialable in bulk quantity
ReplyDeleteUSA UK CANADA all states available
S_S_N F(_)LLZ
S_I_N F(_)LLZ
N_I_N F(_)LLZ
DL F(_)LLZ
HERE YOU'LL FIND US
TG > AT LEADSUPPLIER / AT KILLHACKS
TG CHANL > t.me/leadsproviderworldwide
WHT's APP > +1 7.2.7 78.8.6 12.9
VK MSNGR > AT LEADSUPPLIER
F(_)LLZ SS.N DOB D.L
UK N.I.N D.OB Sort Code
Canada SI.N MM.N Email
D.L FRONT BACK USA UK CANADA
MANY LEADS DATABASES AVAILABLE
CRYPTO & PAYDAY LEADS
MORTGAGE & LOAN LEADS
SWEEP STAKES LEADS
USA EMPLOYEMENT LEADS, PERSONAL INFO LEADS
UK PHONE NUMBERS & EMAIL LEADS
CANADA PHONE NUMBER & EMAIL LEADS
SPECIFIC PROFESSIONALS LEADS
FACEBOOK, LINKEDIN, AMAZON LEADS
WORLDWIDE DOMAINS LEADS
EDUCATION LEADS
CAR DATABASE LEADS
W-2 FORMS
BUSINESS EIN COMPANY LEADS
HIGH CREDIT SCORES LEADS
BUSINESS LEADS
MEDICAL LEADS
DOCTORS DATABASE LEADS
#SSN #SSNDOBDL #SellSSN #CCShop #CCSELLCVV #ShopSSNDOBDLADDRESS #FULLZ #SSNFULLZ
#REALDLSCAN #YoungAgeFullz
#SIN #SINDOBDL #SellSIN #SINMMNFULLZ #MMNPROSSIN #MMNSIN #CCShop #CCSELLCVV #ShopSINDOBDLADDRESS #FULLZ #SINFULLZ
#REALDLSCAN #YoungAgeFullz #Fullzseller #CANADAFULLZ #FULLZCANADA
#NIN #NINDOBDL #SellNIN #CCShop #CCSELLCVV #ShopNINDOBDLADDRESS #FULLZ #NINFULLZ